UK Defense Ministry gives forecast on Russia-Ukraine war in coming months

20 August, 02:15 PM (Photo:REUTERS/Oleksandr Ratushniak) (Photo:REUTERS/Oleksandr Ratushniak)

The war in Ukraine has ground to a halt, and in future the initiative will go to whichever side manages to gear itself up for an offensive, UK military analysts say.

That was the forecast of the UK Ministry of Defense in its daily intelligence update on Aug. 20 regarding the situation on the front in Ukraine in the coming months.

The ministry tweeted the last week had seen only minimal changes in territorial control along the front line.

“In the Donbas, after small advances from early August, Russian forces have approached the outskirts of the town of Bakhmut, but have not yet broken into the built-up area,” the ministry’s assessment says.

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“Russia has not made any major efforts to advance in the Zaporizhzhya or Kharkiv sectors.”

At the same time, in the south-west, neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces have made advances on the Kherson front line.

However, increasingly frequent explosions behind Russian lines are probably stressing Russian logistics and air basing in the south.

“It is unlikely that the situation will significantly change in the next week,” reads the report.

“Russian forces are, for now, probably only prepared to undertake limited local assaults, rarely involving more than a company of troops. However, over the coming months the initiative will go to whichever side manages to generate a credible, committed force for offensive operations.”

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