Kremlin braces for Orbán loss as Hungary election threatens Putin ally

10 April, 08:45 PM
Europe
Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán during a meeting in Moscow, Russia, on Nov. 28, 2025. (Photo: Alexander Nemenov/Pool via REUTERS)

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán during a meeting in Moscow, Russia, on Nov. 28, 2025. (Photo: Alexander Nemenov/Pool via REUTERS)

Author: Alex Stezhensky

The Kremlin is preparing for the possibility that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party could lose Sunday’s parliamentary election, Russian outlet Meduza reported on April 10, citing two sources close to the political bloc of Russia’s presidential administration.

The vote could end Orbán’s 16-year hold on power and deal a blow to one of the Kremlin’s closest allies in the European Union.

One source told Meduza that Kremlin-linked officials initially hoped Orbán and his strategists could recover and win the party-list vote. Later, a narrower path to victory — driven by single-member districts — came to be seen as good enough.

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“Now [in the Kremlin] they admit that may not happen either,” the source said.

A source and a political strategist who works with the Kremlin told the outlet that if Fidesz loses, Russian state-controlled media will present the result as a “color revolution” orchestrated by the European Union.

At the same time, Putin is expected to blame Orbán and his team for the defeat.

“Even with our support, they couldn’t do anything,” one source said.

Another source told Meduza that Russia’s presidential administration is not directly running Orbán’s campaign, but is providing “assistance” with its social media effort.

The election, scheduled for April 12, could bring Hungary’s first change of government in 16 years. Opinion polls suggest the opposition Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, could win a two-thirds majority in parliament.

Reuters reported on April 1, citing several surveys, that Tisza had widened its lead over the ruling Fidesz party ahead of the vote.

U.S. Vice President JD Vance visited Budapest on April 7 and voiced support for Orbán, calling him “the best player” in diplomacy.

Trump has also publicly backed Orbán. During a phone call with Vance in Budapest, the U.S. president said he was “a big fan” of the Hungarian prime minister.

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