Military expert gives forecast on Russia-Ukraine war

22 March 2022, 06:24 PM

Ukraine is unlikely to be able to match Russian manpower in the war, but will win through the use of better tactics, Ukrainian military expert Serhiy Hrabskyi told Radio NV on March 22.

Hrabskyi said Russia would draft in youths as young as 17-years-old, but that Ukraine would make better use of its soldiers.

"We are talking about the efficiency of using this manpower," he said.

"We provide training and education. We should understand that today the war is being waged not by masses of infantry, but mainly by technical means. We need to have military and trained resources for this."

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According to the expert, the enemy's losses of ground and aircraft equipment should not be judged from the point of view of the "amount of burned iron," but in terms of the destruction of trained personnel.

"You can bombard Ukraine with cannon fodder, sending untrained reserves and resources into battle, but the effectiveness of such actions will be minimal," Hrabskyi said.

"At the same time, the Ukrainian Army has already shown its effectiveness in maneuvering defense and inflicting counterattacks, so we can argue that Ukraine will stand."

However, the expert warns that heavy battles and challenges are still ahead.

Hrabskyi said that the war might last for at least another six months, so Ukraine would need not only Soviet air defense systems, but also modern ones.

"We have to understand that the war will not end tomorrow," he said.

"Unfortunately, I have such confidence, no matter how annoying it may sound, that it will not end even within six months. We will continue to defend ourselves, so we will need more high-end, powerful and modern Patriot (air defense) systems."

The expert added that their use is preceded by a rather long training of specialists, however the systems will strengthen Ukraine's ability to protect its skies.

Russia has already lost about 15,300 soldiers since the beginning of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The U.S. Department of Defense stated that Russia had not yet achieved any of the possible goals it had set before launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

At the same time, the Pentagon said that Ukrainian forces had demonstrated impressive abilities to defend their cities and fellow citizens.

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