A second wave of mobilization may be initiated by the Russian authorities this winter, despite the Kremlin's assurances that mobilization is over, the Russian Verstka newspaper reported on Nov. 3, citing government sources.
This second wave is already in the preparation stage at the Kremlin, Verstka’s sources say. It will likely be held after the end of the fall draft on Dec. 31.
Specific signs point to a swift extension of the mobilization wave. For example, the Russian government decided to connect military enlistment offices to the databases of the Federal Tax Service, the Pension Fund of Russia, the electoral registry, and registry offices.
"Why do you think military commissariats are being urgently re-equipped now?” a source close to the Kremlin explained.
“I assure you, this is not a strategic task, but a tactical one: soon they will have to accept new mobilized people."
Two sources close to the presidential administration insist that plans for further conscription of citizens for the full-scale war against Ukraine are only "frozen".
"Let's put it this way: I don't know the exact timing, but a new mobilization in Russia may start soon, possibly already in winter," one of them said.
Another source stated that the presidential administration decided to use the period before the New Year for "emotional relief of the population", but "no one believes in the end of mobilization”.
"It's clear that more people will be needed, it's just not clear how many,” an unnamed Kremlin official was quoted as saying.
Representatives of the Russian authorities, including Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and dictator Vladimir Putin, announced the "end of mobilization measures" in late October. According to them, 300,000 people had been called up to the army for mobilization, and there will be no new drafts. However, the decree on mobilization is yet to be canceled.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that only public recruitment events in Russia have been stopped, and the delivery of draft notices continues. According to the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, mobilization has been less than a success for Russia so far, due to a lack of barracks, training facilities, equipment, and instructors.