Russia likely to launch new wave of mobilization soon, says Estonian intelligence

2 June, 07:56 PM
Margo Grosberg (Photo:ICDS Tallinn/

Margo Grosberg (Photo:ICDS Tallinn/

Russia is likely to initiate a new mobilization very soon, Estonian news outlet ERR quoted Colonel Margo Grosberg, commander of the Estonian Defense Forces (EDF) intelligence center, as saying on June 2.

Russia has lost 40,000 soldiers in nine months during the Battle of Bakhmut alone, he said.

The one-to-one balance of forces on the front is now evident, as Russia has been able to compensate for losses with its September mobilization, but “in order to conduct a successful offensive, they would need three times the advantage on the attacking side,” Grosberg said.

Video of day

“Taking into consideration all these nuances, there is a very high probability that a similar mobilization wave will be initiated as it was in September,” the official said.

“Such a thing is unquestionably required for the Russian Federation to attain its goals.”

Regarding the situation in Bakhmut, Grosberg said that Wagner Group had begun to withdraw from Bakhmut and transfer it over to the Russian regular army troops.

He also emphasized Russia’s heavy losses in this area.

“During this nine-month battle of Bakhmut, the Russian Federation lost about 40,000 people,” Grosberg said.

“These are permanent casualties: dead, missing, or critically wounded.”

Russia announced its first mobilization on Sept. 21, 2022, after defeats and retreat from Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv oblasts. The plan provided for the recruitment of 300,000 people.

Russia’s prepared mobilization resource was up to two million people, out of a pool of about 29 million potential recruits, said Commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Serhiy Nayev, on Oct. 15, 2022.

Russia plans to recruit another 400,000 contract soldiers after its offensive failed in Ukraine, reported Bloomberg on March 23, 2023.

Russia’s occupying army is believed to have suffered huge losses approaching 209,000 people.

Will you support Ukraine’s free press?

Dear reader, as all news organizations, we must balance the pressures of delivering timely, accurate, and relevant stories with requirements to fund our business operations.

As a Ukrainian-based media, we also have another responsibility – to amplify Ukraine’s voice to the world during the crucial moment of its existence as a political nation.

It’s the support of our readers that lets us continue doing our job. We keep our essential reporting free because we believe in our ultimate purpose: an independent, democratic Ukraine.

If you’re willing to support Ukraine, consider subscribing to our Patreon starting from 5$ per month. We are immensely grateful.

Please help us continue fighting Russian propaganda.

Truth can be hard to tell from fiction these days. Every viewpoint has its audience of backers and supporters, no matter how absurd.

If conscious disinformation is reinforced by state propaganda apparatus and budget, its outcomes may become deadly.

There is no solution to this, other than independent, honest, and accurate reporting.

We remain committed to empowering the Ukrainian voice to push against the muck. If you’re willing to stand up for the truth – consider supporting us on Patreon starting from 5$ per month. Thank you very much.

Will you help tell Ukraine’s story to the world?

Twenty years ago, most people hadn’t even heard of Ukraine. Today, the country is on everyone’s lips and everyone’s headlines. War pushed us on the front page. But there are many other things we do that we are proud of – from music and culture to technology.

We need your help to tell the world Ukrainian story of resilience, joy, and survival. If you’re willing to back our effort, consider supporting us on Patreon starting from 5$ per month. We are immensely grateful.

Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Google News

Ukraine Today
Fresh daily newsletter covering the top headlines and developments in Ukraine
Daily at 9am EST
Show more news