Certain intelligence suggests Russia-orchestrated false flag operation could be used to draw Belarus into the war in Ukraine, Deputy Interior Minister Yevhen Yenin said during an interview on Ukrainian TV on July 2.
“We’re talking infiltration by sabotage and reconnaissance groups,” he clarified.
“That’s why our border patrol guards are on high alert.”
At the same time, Yenin said there are no indications of Belarus forming army strike forces that could potentially be used to invade Ukraine.
Although it is unlikely, the threat of Belarus invading Ukraine from the north remains present, Ukrainian intelligence recently assessed. Seven Belarusian battalions remain deployed near the Ukrainian border, forcing Kyiv to commit additional forces to the defense of Ukraine’s northern border and step up intelligence gathering there.
Belarusian army launched “combat readiness” exercises on June 7. The country’s dictator, Alexander Lukashenko, established a “people’s militia” volunteer force, and ordered exercises “on transitioning from peace- to wartime,” according to Ukrainian intelligence.
Other intelligence reports suggested Russia plans a series of false flag operations, in order to draw Belarus directly into the war against Ukraine.
President Volodymyr Zelensky said on June 6 that the risk of another invasion of Ukraine from the north is minimal, but confirmed that Kyiv is prepared for any such eventuality.
Even after withdrawing its forces from northern Ukraine, Russia continues to use Belarusian territory to repeatedly launch missile and air stakes at Ukraine.