Russia slowly advancing, but will not be able to encircle Ukraine Army, says CIT analyst

30 April, 05:59 PM
Ukrainian military at the position in Donetsk region (Photo:REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko)

Ukrainian military at the position in Donetsk region (Photo:REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko)

Invading Russian forces continue their slow offensive in eastern Ukraine, but they will be unable to encircle Ukrainian troops, Kyrylo Mykhailov, an analyst from the open-source Conflict Intelligence Team, told Radio NV on April 30.

"Many analysts say that the Russian offensive is underway on the eastern front, with some success, but it is very slow," he noted.

"Ukrainians are skillfully maintaining their defenses, skillfully withdrawing from some positions and holding on to the last. For example, (Russian terrorist Igor Girkin, nom de guerre) Strelkov concludes that the large encirclement expected by the Russians will not take place."

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Mykhailov stressed that it will take Russia several months to seize the Donbas. At this rate, but Ukraine will launch a counteroffensive during this time.

"In the best case scenario for Russia, Ukrainian troops will be driven out of the Donbas in a few months, but not encircled, not destroyed," the expert said.

"During this time, using the Lend-Lease (program), Ukraine will be able to prepare new units and carry out powerful counterattacks."

On April 28, the U.S. House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed a bill to speed up the exports of military equipment to Ukraine.

The bill, called the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act, was backed by a vote of 417-10. It is now to be signed by U.S. President Joe Biden.

If Biden enacts the relevant bill into law, it will significantly facilitate and speed up the supply of U.S. weapons to Ukraine, and will revive the Lend-Lease program that was in place until the end of World War II.

The bill will authorize the U.S. administration to provide military equipment to Ukraine and other Eastern European countries until the 2023 fiscal year inclusive.

Lend-lease will authorize nearly any weapons to be sent to Ukraine, including modern fighter jets and state-of-the-art equipment.

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