Russians have little chance to take Bakhmut, military experts reckon

29 July, 12:34 PM
Destroyed Russian military equipment (Photo:General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Facebook)

Destroyed Russian military equipment (Photo:General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Facebook)

Even if Russian invasion forces scale back their attempts to take Siversk and focus on Bakhmut, the chances of their capturing the key Donetsk Oblast city are slim, U.S. Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in its Ukrainian war report for July 28.

The report notes that Russian invading forces have been struggling trying to achieve any success around Siversk and have not made confirmed advances in the direction of the city since the capture of the administrative border of Luhansk Oblast in early July.

Instead, the Russian command will most likely try to maintain momentum around Bakhmut, possibly by putting pressure on Siversk, the ISW’s analysts believe.

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The invaders carried out limited ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk, as well as northeast and southwest of Bakhmut, according to the report.

It is also noted that Russian troops can intensify offensive operations around Avdiyivka and create conditions for the resumption of offensive operations in the direction of Kharkiv.

Russian forces also attempted a limited ground offensive on the southern axis, but likely suffered territorial losses in Kherson Oblast. They are trying to maintain their ground lines of communication over the Dnipro River, connecting Kherson with the rear areas in the eastern part of Kherson Oblast.

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