Ukrainian forces in southern Ukraine have ramped up their firepower in KhersonOblast, but it’s too soon to assess the impact of recent Ukrainian advances in the region, the UK Defense Ministry said in its daily intelligence summary on Twitter on Aug. 30.
According to the message, long-range Ukrainian artillery strikes continues to disrupt Russian efforts to reinforce its units near Kherson.
Moscow’s forces have put much effort into bolstering their presence on the Dnipro’s western bank since early August, although most Russian regiments near Kherson are likely not at full strength, and rely on increasingly more fragile ferry and pontoon supply lines.
“The integration of Russian Eastern and Southern military districts’ forces suggests a significant reorganization if Russia’s forces in Ukraine,” the ministry said.
“There is a realistic possibility that Russia has moved to rationalize the several, semi-independent, operational commands which contributed to its poor performance early in the invasion.”
According to the assessment, in case of a sustained Ukrainian advance, this untested Russian command structure could become a key factor in Moscow’s ability to hold on to seized Ukrainian territory.