Most Ukrainians think Russia will be defeated on battlefields

21 June, 03:25 PM
a Ukrainian flag (Photo:REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino)

a Ukrainian flag (Photo:REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino)

Some 93% of Ukrainians are confident that the country will win the war against Russia, but two-thirds of them think it will take at least six months to expel Russian forces from Ukrainian territory, according to a new poll.

The study was carried out by Rating, a polling group in Kyiv.

While doing mostly electoral polls prior to the war, Rating is now concentrating on researching the prevailing moods in Ukrainian society.

A total of 67% of Ukrainians believe it will take at least six more months to defeat Russia – and maybe even longer.

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A quarter of citizens responding to the Rating poll think it will take a couple of months to gain victory, while 6% said they saw ultimate victory coming within weeks, not months.

The older population has more expectations about winning the war quickly, but half of the elderly citizens still think it will take at least six more months or even a year to defeat the Russian army.

The polling was conducted by telephone on June 18-19, with 1,200 respondents quizzed. All of the Ukrainian regions were represented in this poll, apart from the occupied territories of the Donbas, Crimea and those areas that don’t have a reliable phone connection.

The statistical error of the poll should not exceed 2.8%, according to Rating’s methodology.

Russia invaded Ukraine in a full-scale military operation on Feb. 24 and the country is now 122 days into this most active stage of the eight-year-long war. Russia first attacked in the north, east, and south – using artillery and aircraft – but retreated from the north after being defeated in battles outside of the Ukrainian capital Kyiv.

At the current stage, war includes combat zones in two geographic areas – the east and south – while the north and west experience occasional strikes by Russian rockets and missiles.

Having failed to capture Kyiv and overthrow the Ukrainian government, the Russian army prioritized the Donbas area, where it now aims to ensure the so-called “people’s republics” that Moscow created and now recognizes as independent to control 100% of the territory of Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts.

Kherson and Mariupol are the only major cities that the Russian army has managed to establish occupational control over, although many smaller towns and villages live under occupation in Zaporizhzhya, Kherson, and Kharkiv oblasts.

Some major Ukrainian cities – like Slovyansk and Severodonetsk, located in the Donbas area – are considered to be uninhabitable due to heavy combat, constant shelling and interruption in all of the utility services.

So far, the Ukrainian army has conducted a number of successful counter-offensive operations in Kherson and Kharkiv oblasts, while in the Donbas area it is denying the Russian army any substantial territorial gains.

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