Budanov: A truce with Russia could happen fast, but real peace remains out of reach

27 February, 02:44 PM
HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov (Photo: Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine’s Defense Ministry via Facebook)

HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov (Photo: Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine’s Defense Ministry via Facebook)

While a quick cease-fire with Russia is possible, achieving a lasting peace is not, head of Ukraine’s HUR military intelligence Kyrylo Budanov said in an interview with Ukrinform on Feb. 27.

When asked about Russia’s approach to peace negotiations, Budanov said Moscow is using a “carrot and stick” tactic, applying pressure on Ukraine while offering financial incentives to other parties involved.

“This has always been the case, and nothing will change for them. The real question is a truce or peace. These are completely different things. Reaching a truce quickly, in my personal opinion, is generally realistic. Reaching peace quickly is not,” Budanov emphasized.

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He also noted that if Russia does not exit the war by 2026, it will lose its chance at global leadership.

“Yes, they need a pause. [...] They will, at best, retain regional influence, which does not satisfy them at all. The cost of war is too high, especially financially. It prevents them from developing the country, investing in large-scale projects, and more,” he explained.

According to Budanov, Russia lacks key technologies, particularly in Arctic resource development and gas extraction.

Earlier, Budanov also said that despite leadership reshuffles in Russia, Vladimir Putin’s inner circle remains unchanged. He noted that former Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s influence has significantly diminished, while Nikolai Patrushev continues to wield power.

On Feb. 14, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that any agreements to end the war without Ukraine or Europe’s participation would be a mistake. He expressed hope that U.S. President Donald Trump has no such intentions.

On Feb. 16, Bloomberg, citing sources, reported that Trump’s administration told European officials it aims to secure a cease-fire in Ukraine by Easter.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian lawmaker Fedir Venislavskyi, from the ruling Servant of the People party, said a cease-fire agreement in Ukraine would not automatically mean the end of martial law.

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