Budanov: A truce with Russia could happen fast, but real peace remains out of reach
HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov (Photo: Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine’s Defense Ministry via Facebook)
While a quick cease-fire with Russia is possible, achieving
a lasting peace is not, head of Ukraine’s HUR military intelligence Kyrylo
Budanov said in an interview with Ukrinform
on Feb. 27.
When asked about Russia’s approach to peace negotiations,
Budanov said Moscow is using a “carrot and stick” tactic, applying pressure on
Ukraine while offering financial incentives to other parties involved.
“This has always been the case, and nothing will change for
them. The real question is a truce or peace. These are completely different
things. Reaching a truce quickly, in my personal opinion, is generally
realistic. Reaching peace quickly is not,” Budanov emphasized.
He also noted that if Russia does not exit the war by 2026,
it will lose its chance at global leadership.
“Yes, they need a pause. [...] They will, at best, retain
regional influence, which does not satisfy them at all. The cost of war is too
high, especially financially. It prevents them from developing the country,
investing in large-scale projects, and more,” he explained.
According to Budanov, Russia lacks key technologies,
particularly in Arctic resource development and gas extraction.
Earlier, Budanov also said that despite leadership
reshuffles in Russia, Vladimir Putin’s inner circle remains unchanged. He noted
that former Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s influence has significantly
diminished, while Nikolai Patrushev continues to wield power.
On Feb. 14, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated
that any agreements to end the war without Ukraine or Europe’s participation
would be a mistake. He expressed hope that U.S. President Donald Trump has no
such intentions.
On Feb. 16, Bloomberg, citing sources, reported that Trump’s
administration told European officials it aims to secure a cease-fire in
Ukraine by Easter.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian lawmaker Fedir Venislavskyi, from the
ruling Servant of the People party, said a cease-fire agreement in Ukraine
would not automatically mean the end of martial law.
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