Russian troops in Belarus unlikely to constitute credible offensive force, says UK intelligence

11 January, 01:05 PM
Military exercises are taking place in Belarus (

Military exercises are taking place in Belarus (

Russian troops in Belarus are mostly involved in training and are unlikely to constitute a credible offensive force, the UK’s Defense Intelligence wrote on Twitter on Jan. 11.

“The new deployment of Russian aircraft to Belarus is likely a genuine exercise, rather than a preparation for any additional offensive operations against Ukraine,” the department said in its daily summary.

“Although Russia maintains a large number of forces in Belarus, they are mostly involved in training. They are unlikely to constitute a credible offensive force.”

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Earlier, Ukrainian commander tasked with defending Kyiv, Lt. Gen. Oleksandr Pavlyuk, said that the threat of an invasion from Belarus remains low, despite the Russians pooling military equipment into the country and conducting maneuvers.

Andriy Demchenko, spokesman of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine, said the situation at Ukraine’s border with Belarus was under control.

Speaking on Jan. 6, Demchenko said that Ukrainian border guards haven’t observed any threatening movements by Belarusian military personnel or vehicles.

In December 2022, the Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, said in an interview with UK news magazine the Economist that Russia could potentially mount another push towards Kyiv from across the Belarus border.

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