territorial concessions

JPMorgan predicts ‘Finnish scenario’ for Ukraine with territorial losses but Western alignment

Analysts at JPMorgan Chase predict that Ukraine is most likely to end the war under a so-called “Finnish scenario,” which would involve territorial losses while preserving the country’s sovereignty and pro-Western orientation, according to the bank’s May report.

16 May, 01:15 PM

Merz urges Zelenskyy to sell Ukrainians on land-for-EU peace tradeoff

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia could require Ukraine to give up some territory that “will no longer be Ukrainian,” and linked such a deal to Kyiv’s path toward European Union membership, Reuters reported on April 27.

27 April, 06:35 PM

Kremlin issues new threats to Ukraine, demanding 'painful decisions' on territory

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov issued a fresh ultimatum to Ukraine, claiming Kyiv must yield to Moscow's demands or face "even more painful decisions" as the war continues, Russian state propaganda service Vesti reported on April 26.

26 April, 09:55 PM

Putin will target Dnipro and Kharkiv if he gets full control of Donbas, Zelenskyy warns

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will not stop if he gains full control over Donbas and will instead try to capture the cities of Dnipro and Kharkiv, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on the British podcast “The Rest is Politics”, The Guardian reported on April 9.

9 April, 01:57 PM

Washington to push Kyiv to concessions while Moscow offers nothing - Herbst

Russia has made no compromise the peace negotiation process, however, the White House will continue to pressure Kyiv for concessions to Moscow in the coming months, former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst told NV on April 2.

3 April, 08:15 AM

Kremlin demands Kyiv to leave Donbas ‘today’ and accept Russia’s terms

Ukraine should decide immediately to withdraw its troops from Donbas, Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, said on April 1, according to the propaganda news agency TASS.

1 April, 04:25 PM

Ukraine peace talks at deadlock over territory, Stubb says

Finnish President Alexander Stubb believes negotiations to end Russia’s war against Ukraine have hit a dead end, Norwegian broadcaster VG reported on March 26.

26 March, 06:08 PM

Ukraine's Donbas withdrawal may save up to a million Russian troops

Should Ukraine's Defense Forces withdraw from Donbas, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will save between 300k and 1M of his soldiers, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in an interview with Rai Italia on March 5.

5 March, 02:10 PM

Kremlin regime says it will continue Ukraine talks but ‘trusts only itself’

The Kremlin regime will remain open to U.S.-mediated talks on ending Russia’s war against Ukraine but “trusts only itself,” Kremlin regime spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on March 2, according to Russian state news agencies.

2 March, 01:55 PM

Kremlin threatens to exit talks unless Ukraine cedes all of Donetsk Oblast

Russian officials involved in negotiations with Ukraine and the United States are increasingly concluding that the talks make little sense if Ukraine does not agree to relinquish territory, Bloomberg reported on Feb. 28, citing sources close to the Kremlin.

28 February, 03:35 PM

Putin's endgame is total capitulation, not new elections in Ukraine

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will not be satisfied with territorial concessions or new elections in Ukraine, aiming instead for complete capitulation and a puppet regime, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on Feb. 19.

20 February, 10:06 AM

Russia demands NATO rollback, not just Ukrainian land

Russian officials have been signalling that Moscow will not be satisfied with Ukraine’s territorial concessions alone and remain committed to Kremlin’s original war goals, including dismantling the NATO alliance, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Feb. 18 following the conclusion of trilateral peace talks in Geneva.

19 February, 09:33 AM

Zelenskyy: No country’s recognition can give away Ukrainian land

Even if some countries recognized Ukraine’s temporarily occupied territories as Russian — as Moscow demands — it would change nothing because only Ukraine’s president can sign documents affecting the country’s territory, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at a joint news conference with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk in Kyiv on Feb. 5.

5 February, 05:56 PM

Most Ukrainians reject trading Donbas for security guarantees, new poll finds

A majority of Ukrainians — 52% — categorically reject the idea of handing over the entire Donbas to Russia in exchange for security guarantees, while 9% say they would easily agree to such a deal, and another 31% are prepared to accept it as a difficult compromise, according to a new survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).

2 February, 01:05 PM

Kremlin dangles U.S. ties to squeeze concessions on Ukraine — ISW

The Kremlin is deliberately leveraging U.S.–Russia relations to force concessions on Ukraine as talks in Abu Dhabi approach, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on Feb. 1.

2 February, 10:58 AM

White House denies FT report on Donbas-for-security guarantees deal

Reports from the Financial Times that the United States would provide Ukraine with security guarantees only if Kyiv ceded the Donbas region are false, Deputy White House press secretary Anna Kelly told FT on Jan. 27.

27 January, 02:07 PM

U.S. hints guarantees depend on Ukraine surrendering Donbas — FT

U.S. President Donald Trump administration has signaled to Ukraine that security guarantees will depend on whether Kyiv agrees to a peace deal that includes handing over Donbas to Russia, the Financial Times wrote on Jan. 26.

27 January, 10:23 AM

Donbas to be discussed at trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi — Zelenskyy

Donbas will be discussed in trilateral negotiations in the UAE on Jan. 22–23, and will remain a key issue in peace talks, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told reporters, Interfax-Ukraine wrote on Jan. 23.

23 January, 01:02 PM

Putin again demands all of Donbas in U.S. talks

Russia demands that the United States agree to hand over the entire Donbas — including areas Russian forces have never captured, the Kremlin-aligned newspaper Kommersant wrote on Dec. 25.

26 December 2025, 08:45 AM

Vance: Talks on Russia's war in Ukraine show 'breakthrough', but no confidence in future peace yet

Negotiations to end Russia's war against Ukraine have achieved a "breakthrough," but there is no certainty of a peaceful settlement at this point, U.S. Vice President JD Vance said in an interview with UnHerd on Dec. 22.

22 December 2025, 06:06 PM

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