Russia may try to destroy NATO in six months — political scientist Oleshchuk

The fact that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov makes these statements, followed by their publication in TASS, cannot be dismissed as coincidental. This is not the opinion of some blogger; it clearly reflects a deliberate policy. De facto, it represents another version of an ultimatum.

But it’s not just Ryabkov making such statements. German intelligence has also indicated that they have concrete evidence suggesting Russia is preparing a military provocation against the Baltic states — likely limited in scope but with elements of hybrid warfare.

“For three years, we’ve been warning that the Russians are preparing a provocation — specifically, plans to seize part of the Baltic states, declare sovereignty there, and cover it with nuclear weapons. This would demonstrate NATO's weakness and give Russia its greatest geopolitical victory,” the expert explained.

This scenario, the expert suggests, might represent the victory Vladimir Putin is seeking. “NATO would be defeated, and everything would be blocked. Putin could claim victory,” the expert continued. "In his psychopathic mindset, this could be the solution to all his problems."

The expert notes that Russia's approach would be an attempt to resolve its issues with one decisive blow: NATO would collapse, and no one would oppose Russia, resulting in a total victory for Putin.

Although this scenario has been discussed for some time, the expert believes it is now taking on tangible form. “It seems there’s not much time left before this scenario materializes. In all likelihood, within the next six months, Russia will attempt to destabilize NATO through military provocations in the Baltic countries to show the alliance's weakness,” they said.

NATO’s foundation rests on the principle of "one for all, all for one," as outlined in the alliance’s founding documents. However, the documents lack specifics, notably on what happens when a NATO member is attacked. It states that member countries will hold consultations to determine the format of a response.

The expert imagines these consultations in the event of a Russian attack on Estonia. “I can picture the Trump administration’s response: 'This is not our problem. We didn’t start this war. It’s Biden’s fault; he expanded NATO and accepted Sweden and Finland. We need to negotiate with Russia and find a solution. In the meantime, we’ll wait.'"