Security guarantees: Ukrainians pick firepower over NATO membership

Nation

14 March 2025, 01:56 PM

The majority of Ukrainians support increased military assistance for the country’s armed forces as the most effective and reliable security component of a lasting peace deal, Anton Hrushetsky, Executive Director of the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) said on March 14, commenting on the results of a new sociological survey.

The survey, conducted from February 14 to March 4, was aimed at exploring the role of various parameters and their combinations, so-called "packages," in a possible peace agreement. Five dimensional components were analyzed, including security guarantees, EU membership, control over territories, language policy, and Ukraine's sovereignty. 

A scenario in which "NATO membership is postponed for 10-20 years, but Kyiv receives large amounts of weapons (air defense, aircraft, tanks, etc.) gains the support of about 54% of Ukrainians, with 35% against it," Hrushetsky said.  

The deal, secured by a peacekeeping force and the promise of future NATO membership, is supported by 47%, while 43% strongly oppose it.

Only 49% of Ukrainians see full NATO membership as a reliable peace guarantee capable of deterring future Russian aggression.

The poll was conducted among 2029 adult Ukrainians in government-controlled areas with a margin of error of no more than 2.9%. 

During the March 11 talks in Jeddah, Ukraine assured U.S. officials that dropping the bid to join NATO would not be part of any potential peace agreement with Russia

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