Russia plans three potential war strategies stretching to 2028 - CCD
Center for Countering Disinformation wrote about the Kremlin war plans (Photo: facebook.com/okPivden)
The Kremlin now has at least three scenarios for the war against Ukraine, including an attempt to gradually freeze the confrontation, Center for Countering Disinformation (CCD) head Andrii Kovalenko wrote on April 16.
The Kremlin's first scenario envisions continuing the war until at least 2028, he noted. Russians are banking on this year's spring-summer assault attempt, Kovalenko added. The scenario of a war lasting until 2028 is unrealistic without future mobilization in Russia.
The second scenario is a "drift" toward a ceasefire and freezing the war, CCD believes.
"Russian propagandists are already shaping a narrative for this, portraying [Russian dictator Vladimir] Putin as poorly informed about the front-line situation and claiming the war 'reached a dead end due to the actions of generals who lied,'" Kovalenko stated.
The third scenario involves continuing the war against Ukraine while simultaneously transitioning to a hybrid war with NATO closer to 2028, he said.
"These could be aggressive actions against the Baltic states. Amid this, Russia is pushing a bill allowing the use of its army in other countries to 'protect Russian citizens,'" the CCD head wrote.
The Kremlin could resort to drone attacks and use small sabotage and reconnaissance groups of up to 20 people to infiltrate the Baltic states for specific operations, he noted. The information space is already pushing a narrative about an alleged threat to Russia from military enterprises located in NATO countries.
Russia is successfully rearming and will pose a "serious military threat" to NATO using conventional weapons by 2028, German Defense Ministry reported last year.
Russia practiced an attack on Finland, Norway, and the Baltic countries, particularly Estonia, and has not abandoned plans to carry it out, the Finnish publication Iltalehti reported in December 2024.
Will you support Ukraine’s free press?
Dear reader, as all news organizations, we must balance the pressures of delivering timely, accurate, and relevant stories with requirements to fund our business operations.
As a Ukrainian-based media, we also have another responsibility – to amplify Ukraine’s voice to the world during the crucial moment of its existence as a political nation.
It’s the support of our readers that lets us continue doing our job. We keep our essential reporting free because we believe in our ultimate purpose: an independent, democratic Ukraine.
If you’re willing to support Ukraine, consider subscribing to our Patreon starting from 5$ per month. We are immensely grateful.
Please help us continue fighting Russian propaganda.
Truth can be hard to tell from fiction these days. Every viewpoint has its audience of backers and supporters, no matter how absurd.
If conscious disinformation is reinforced by state propaganda apparatus and budget, its outcomes may become deadly.
There is no solution to this, other than independent, honest, and accurate reporting.
We remain committed to empowering the Ukrainian voice to push against the muck. If you’re willing to stand up for the truth – consider supporting us on Patreon starting from 5$ per month. Thank you very much.
Will you help tell Ukraine’s story to the world?
Twenty years ago, most people hadn’t even heard of Ukraine. Today, the country is on everyone’s lips and everyone’s headlines. War pushed us on the front page. But there are many other things we do that we are proud of – from music and culture to technology.
We need your help to tell the world Ukrainian story of resilience, joy, and survival. If you’re willing to back our effort, consider supporting us on Patreon starting from 5$ per month. We are immensely grateful.
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Google News
