Russia has lost third of its invasion force in Ukraine, UK military intelligence assesses

15 May, 12:47 PM
Damaged car window in Saltivka, Kharkiv, May 10, 2022 (Photo:REUTERS/Ricardo Moraes)

Damaged car window in Saltivka, Kharkiv, May 10, 2022 (Photo:REUTERS/Ricardo Moraes)

After losing one third of its initial invasion force, and failing to establish administrative control over anything beyond Kherson, Russia is unlikely to “dramatically accelerate” the pace of its offensive, UK Ministry of Defense said in its daily intelligence briefing via Twitter on May 15.

According to the message, while Moscow made “insignificant” progress at the beginning of this phase of the war, its forces are largely exhausted. Heavy losses of critical auxiliary military equipment – reconnaissance UAVs and bridging equipment – are all but assured to further delay any further Russian advances.

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In particular, Russian UAVs turned out to be highly vulnerable to Ukrainian air defenses, while being “vital for tactical awareness and directing artillery.” Russian forces are suffering from high attrition and low morale, MoD’s assessment says.

“Many of these capabilities cannot be quickly replaced or reconstituted, and are likely to continue to hinder Russian operations in Ukraine,” the message reads.

“Under the current conditions, Russia is unlikely to dramatically accelerate its rate of advance over the next 30 days.”

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