Everything is going by the book. Will there be new massive missile strikes?
Russian mass missile strikes on Ukrainian critical infrastructure follows Russian military SODCIT doctrine. (Photo:Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation)
They don’t fire missiles for nothing, and not just to cause hysteria, either.
They say that it is possible that the Russians will continue launching missiles this week. "Not out of the question" is the perfect wording. You don't need any intelligence, insiders, or even the secret knowledge from your cousin's godfather, whose sister works as a cook in the SBU.
If they launch missiles, then it was just as we had been told they would. If they don’t, then, well, we were never told definitively.
The question is whether Russia will be consistent in its strategy and will be shamed to the end. Will they admit that the strategy is not working and that some missiles should still be saved for the future? Because they are not firing just because, and not simply to cause hysteria. Because there is a method. This is how it is supposed to go.
Russia continues to fight by the book. The problem is that this is a Russian textbook, which was written by Russians and checked by Russians, and what is written there may not work. But they tried. Thus was it written, thus must it be done.
What are they doing now? UK intelligence dug it up and put it on the shelves. Well, kind of dug it up. I found a textbook for junior and middle generals. James Bond did a good job.
The textbook says that if something goes wrong, a strategy called SODCIT should be applied. This is a Strategic Operation for the Destruction of Critically Important Targets. The purpose of SODCIT is "to create conditions for countering threats and preventing aggression, and in the event of the start of hostilities, inflicting damage on the adversary (coalition), during which they would refuse to continue (escalation)on favorable terms for Russia."
The question is whether Russia will be consistent in its strategy.
Russia has admitted that the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the battlefield are, to put it bluntly, escalating. That is, they are beating the Russian army. The Russians cannot counteract this, and that is why they are trying to attack infrastructure. This is meant to create psychological pressure, and to force the Ukrainian people to demand that their authorities stop escalating and stop liberating Ukrainian territory.
Everything is going by the book.
The only problem is that this super-insidious plan is so insidious that it is clear to everyone. And that this strategy has never worked. Not for the Russians, not for the Americans, not even for Hitler. And it is so unabashed and brazen that although it creates problems and annoyances, and leads to nervous breakdowns, it is not effective, because it causes a different desire in society. Ukrainian society is demanding that their authorities do even more to accelerate the escalation and to beat the Russian army even harder, and to further liberate Ukrainian territory. Will the Russians do it or won't they? Nobody knows. We just have to be prepared that they could do it. And if they don't do it, then we can be happy. And if they do, then we must keep our heads and show Putin what we really think of his terror strategy.
That’s because he’s not just firing missiles just at transformers – he’s firing them at our minds. In fact, this is the main target. This is what was prescribed in the brilliant strategy of the brilliant strategists of the second army of the world.
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