analysis

ISW says Russia used ceasefire to reinforce positions

Russian and Ukrainian forces continued conducting offensive operations across the frontline during the first day of the May 9-11 ceasefire, although the intensity of fighting decreased, the Institute for the Study of War said in an assessment published on May 9.

10 May, 09:30 AM

Ukraine fuel prices climb amid global oil turmoil — analysis

War in the Middle East has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, rattling global energy markets and driving fuel prices higher in Ukraine, where motorists have seen prices rise by 6–10 hryvnias per liter.

10 March, 02:19 PM

Kremlin turns war in Ukraine into systemic abuse of its own people

“Bunker Putin”, “cannibal commanders,” “disposable mercenaries” — Russian social media vocabulary is becoming increasingly anti-war, just like public sentiment, researcher Liubov Tsybulska said in an interview with NV on Jan. 16.

16 January, 08:30 AM

Russia’s Oreshnik strike was rather demonstration, than real damage - Ukrainian analyst

Oreshnik ballistic missile launch against Ukraine was purely demonstrative, while the Kremlin continues its strategy of blackouts and deliberate peace talks delays, Vadym Denysenko, Business Capital analytical center head, said on Jan. 9.

9 January, 11:34 AM

Europe abandoned its defenses in 2025 — and 2026 could be even more catastrophic

Europe has placed itself in a dangerously vulnerable position, lacking a serious security strategy, showing weakness on Ukraine, and becoming increasingly dependent on U.S. President Donald Trump. But worse may lie ahead, Francis Dearnley, a columnist for the British outlet The Telegraph, wrote on Dec. 26.

26 December 2025, 01:08 PM

Kremlin plans Shahed boat launcher that Ukraine can jam, track and sink

Russia is developing a sea-based drone designed to launch Shahed-type UAVs, but the platform would have little practical value for strikes against Ukraine, military outlet Defense Express (DE) wrote on Nov. 18.

18 November 2025, 01:26 PM

Russia inflates battlefield gains to push ‘inevitable victory’ narrative — ISW

Russia is inflating its battlefield gains in Ukraine — in some cases by more than double — to push a narrative of “inevitable victory” and pressure the West, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Sept 25.

26 September 2025, 10:08 AM

Putin surrounds himself with aging generals, shutting out younger voices

Russia is turning into a regime where the younger generation has no influence, as Kremlin rule now dominated by old guard, The Times wrote on Sept. 14.

15 September 2025, 08:05 AM

Russia grows bolder in provoking NATO defenses - ISW

Russia likely launched drones into Polish airspace to test NATO’s response and gather intelligence for future conflicts with the West, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on Sept. 10.

11 September 2025, 08:44 AM

Russia prepares for renewed assaults in Kherson Oblast

Russia is likely preparing for offensive operations in priority areas of the front line and limited offensive actions in southern Ukraine, particularly in Kherson Oblast, The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Aug. 13.

14 August 2025, 10:59 AM

Putin’s fanatical resolve: Russia’s refusal to end war costs it regional influence and energy markets

Analysts say Russian dictator Vladimir Putin’s refusal to compromise on Ukraine is a colossal blunder that’s costing Russia its regional influence, lucrative energy markets, and place in the global order, The Washington Post reported on July 19.

20 July 2025, 08:14 PM

JPMorgan Chase predicts Ukraine ceasefire in 2025, outlines four possible scenarios

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the largest bank in the United States, has published a geopolitical analysis on Russia’s war against Ukraine, predicting that a ceasefire agreement could be reached in 2025. The report was prepared by the firm’s newly established Center for Geopolitics.

24 May 2025, 02:30 PM

Kremlin’s demands make meaningful Ukraine-Russia talks impossible despite Trump’s optimism — ISW

Substantive Ukraine-Russian peace talks are impossible for now as Kremlin stalls negotiation process, escalates demands, and rejects of Ukraine’s government legitimacy, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on May 19.

20 May 2025, 10:30 AM

Russian forces intensify attacks near Toretsk and Pokrovsk — DeepState

The Russian forces advanced within the city limits of Toretsk and near several settlements along the Pokrovsk axis in Donetsk Oblast overnight, DeepState monitoring group wrote on May 13.

13 May 2025, 10:20 AM

Xi Jinping reaffirms China's dominance over Russia, warns Trump - former Ukrainian FM

Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s appearance at the May 9 military parade in Moscow is a calculated signal to both Vladimir Putin and the United States, Volodymyr Ohryzko, former Ukrainian FM and Center for Russian Studies head told Radio NV on May 9.

9 May 2025, 02:30 PM

Putin’s rhetoric shows no shift toward peace or de-escalation - ISW

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is unwilling to slow down offensive and insisted on conditions tantamount to Ukraine’s full capitulation in an interview with Kremlin propagandist Pavel Zarubin, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on May 4.

5 May 2025, 10:09 AM

Trump sees Ukraine resource deal as global model for future investment diplomacy

US President Donald Trump administration is treating its newly signed resource agreement with Ukraine as a template for similar international deals in the future, Bloomberg wrote on May 1.

2 May 2025, 03:00 PM

How Ukraine’s energy system survived its toughest winter — opinion

The DiXi Group Analytical Center has released an assessment of the autumn-winter period 2024−2025 — you can read it via the link. In the report, we thoroughly analyze the challenges faced by the energy system and the factors that helped it endure.

28 April 2025, 11:29 PM

Russia pulls forces from Pokrovsk to shift focus — military expert

Russian forces have suffered significant losses on the Pokrovsk axis and are being forced to retreat, but it means they just shifted the focus of their offensive, military expert Mykhailo Zhyrokhov said in an interview with Radio NV on April 22.

22 April 2025, 01:21 PM

Putin signals long war strategy as Russian forces push to capture Donetsk Oblast

Despite its staggering losses, Russian troops continue attempting to encircle the city of Pokrvsk (Donetsk Oblast) from the east and west at any cost, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on April 8.

9 April 2025, 10:29 AM

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