Ukrainian intelligence data reveals drop in monthly Russian missile manufacturing
Nation23 July, 09:20 AM
"They (the new HUR data on Russian missile production) could not fail to please," he explained.
"Iskander production — previous data was as of April 15 — back then they produced 60 Iskanders per month. As of July 18 — 50. That means a drop in ballistics output. Let's take Kinzhals: as of April 15 — 10 per month, in July — five per month. A twofold drop in output. Let's take the Kh-101: as of April — 70, today — 60. That is 10 fewer. On Zircon, it's stable—three missiles per month. There is another reason why Zircons fly at us not three per month, but 10 in a single year; there's a different reason there."
He also noted that the number of Russian ballistic missile strikes against Ukraine is increasing because the occupiers are launching more S-400 missiles converted from training anti-aircraft missiles into "ersatz-ballistics." Additionally, Russian forces have increased their use of Kh-69 and Kh-59 missiles despite a Ukrainian strike on the Smolensk plant that manufactures them.
"That's the kind of situation taking shape. You can analyze further from there; very interesting conclusions can be drawn," the expert concluded.
"But overall, it is clear that our strikes on direct manufacturers and component suppliers are having an effect."
Latest HUR data on Russian missiles
On July 18, Military Intelligence reported that since early June, Russians launched over two hundred missiles at Ukraine. In particular, they targeted critical infrastructure facilities and residential buildings with ballistics, taking advantage of a shortage of PAC-3 missiles for Patriot systems.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, as of mid-July 2026, Russia possesses:
Iskander-M ballistic missiles — over 100 units;
Iskander-K cruise missiles — over 60 units;
Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles — about 100 units;
Kalibr cruise missiles — over 450 units;
Onyx cruise missiles — over 600 units;
Kh-101 cruise missiles for Tu-160 and Tu-95 aircraft — up to 100 units;
Kh-32 cruise missiles (for Tu-22) — over 250 units;
Zircon hypersonic anti-ship missiles — over 120 units;
KN-23 North Korean ballistic missiles — about 50 units;
RM-48U strike missiles for S-300PM/S-400 air defense systems — over 400 units;
Kh-69 guided missiles for Su-30 MK, Su-34, and Su-57 aircraft — up to 20 units.
At the same time, as of mid-April, HUR reported in response to an NV query that Russia held larger missile stockpiles: Iskander-M — up to 200 units, Iskander-K — up to 110 units, Onyx — up to 690 units, Zircon — up to 230 units, Kh-101 — up to 120 units, and Kalibr — up to 460 units.
HUR also reported that within a single month, as of today, Russian industry is capable of manufacturing:
Iskander-M — about 50 units;
Iskander-K — 15 units;
Kinzhal — 5 units;
Kalibr — 20 units;
Kh-101 — 60 units;
Kh-32 — 10 units;
Onyx — 5 units;
Zircon — 3 units;
Kh-69 guided aviation missiles — 4 units;
RM-48U strike missiles — 40 units.
In April, Russian missile production volumes were at approximately the same level. At that time, Russia produced up to 60 Iskander-M units per month, up to 10 Iskander-K units, up to 5 Onyx units, and up to 3 Zircon units.
As of military intelligence estimates, Russia possesses the manufacturing capacity to produce up to 4,000 Geran-type strike UAVs and up to 5,000 Gerbera-type decoy UAVs monthly.