Kherson braces for offensive as Russian forces reorganize

Nation

23 December 2024, 03:39 PM

Russian 810th Separate Marine Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet, based in Sevastopol, are being transferred from Russia’s Kursk Oblast to occupied Kherson Oblast, Telegram Channel Crimean Wind reported on Dec. 23.

This message echoes concerns of possible Russian offensive on Kherson - as increased activity along the Dnipro River has been observed recently.

"The redeployment is expected to be completed by late December or early January," the report said.

"This could indicate preparations for an offensive in the area."

Earlier on Dec. 23, RBC-Ukraine, citing sources, reported that Russian forces are planning to intensify combat operations in Zaporizhzhya Oblast and on the Dnipro river right bank in Kherson.

Sources indicated that Russian forces are bringing equipment to areas on the left bank of the Dnipro for constructing pontoon crossings and are preparing troops.

Possible Russian offensive in Kherson

On Dec. 20, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted increased Russian activity in the Kherson direction.

That same day, Kherson Regional Military Administration head Oleksandr Prokudin reported that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups attempted to advance toward Kherson. On Dec. 20, Kherson also endured heavy shelling, resulting in one death and 11 injuries. Russian forces targeted residential areas as well as social and critical infrastructure.

Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation (CCD) reassured the public that Ukrainian forces are fully prepared for any enemy plans.

"Regarding Kherson: Any enemy plans are well-known," the CCD head Andriy Kovalenko wrote.

"The Defense Forces are ready for anything, and some Russians are already feeding the fish in the Dnipro [river - ed.]. Putin’s attempts to raise the stakes won’t succeed."

Military expert and founder of the Reactive Post NGO Pavlo Narozhny expressed skepticism about Russia’s ability to cross the Dnipro in a Radio NV interview.

"Near the Antonivsky Bridge, the width of the Dnipro River is about one kilometer," Narozhny said.

"Any advance would have to be made under intense fire — not only from artillery and tanks but even small arms. All their watercraft are essentially confiscated civilian boats, not military equipment, meaning they are unarmored and ill-suited for these operations."

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