War in Ukraine will continue throughout 2023, says Latvia’s security service
Latvia believes that the war in Ukraine will continue throughout 2023 (Photo:Marko Djurica/Reuters)
Russia’s war against Ukraine will continue throughout 2023, Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau (SAB) said in the 2022 Annual Report.
According to the report, both Russia and Ukraine will use opportunities to conduct an offensive if they arise.
At the same time, Russia’s strategic objectives have not changed, so it likely plans to resume a new offensive after a period of rest during the winter. The Russian regime is still considering the possibility of renewing the attack on Kyiv, while the capture of Donbas will remain the minimum tactical goal.
The report also states that the resumption of peace talks is currently not possible since Russia is not ready to leave the territory of Ukraine, while Ukraine is not ready for territorial losses.
“The signals sent by Russia about the readiness to resume negotiations can be regarded as a bluff,” the report says.
“It needs time to regroup and prepare for new offensives.”
Meanwhile, according to SAB, for Ukraine to win, it needs significantly more Western military support. Both Russia and Ukraine lack armaments and munitions, so one of the most important factors affecting the further development of the war will be the ability of both sides to obtain or produce them as soon as possible, it said.
“In 2023, Ukraine will continue to address the international community to prevent the onset of war fatigue,” reads the report.
“Russia will continue its efforts to undermine Western support for Ukraine, attempting to divide the West and continuing to spread nuclear threats.”
“However, in our assessment, there is currently a low probability of Russia using nuclear weapons, as it could lead to more direct Western involvement in the war and alienate Russia-friendly countries such as China and India,” SAB said in the report.
Earlier, speaking to the UK parliament, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he was confident that Russia would be defeated.
Commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Serhiy Nayev said that the war in Ukraine will end with Ukraine being restored to its 1991 borders.
The head of Ukraine’s Military Intelligence Directorate, Kyrylo Budanov, said Ukraine’s army could start to liberate Ukraine’s Russian-occupied Crimea by the end of spring.
National Security and Defense Council Secretary Oleksiy Danilov said that he believes that Ukraine’s real victory is “the collapse of Russia, its disappearance as an integral subject of history and politics.”
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