ISW

Trump’s decision to ease Russian diesel sanctions could prolong war in Ukraine — ISW

U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to ease sanctions on Russia and allow Russian diesel exports to U.S. and global markets amounts to a unilateral concession to Moscow, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said on Oct. 9.

10 October, 03:08 PM

ISW: Russia uses Estonia border moves to portray NATO as escalating tensions

Russian State Duma officials are using reports that Estonia is strengthening its border with Russia as a tool of cognitive warfare to portray NATO as the side “escalating” tensions and provoking conflict, the Institute for the Study of War said in its Oct. 5 assessment.

6 October, 02:23 PM

Part of broader campaign: What Russia’s strikes on Kyiv’s Pivdennyi Bridge reveal — ISW analysis

Russia’s repeated strikes on Kyiv’s Pivdennyi Bridge are part of a broader campaign aimed at damaging Ukraine’s economy and disrupting daily life in the capital, the Institute for the Study of War said on Oct. 2.

2 October, 11:55 AM

Russian milbloggers blame false reports as Ukraine advances near Lyman

Ukraine’s Defense Forces’ Operation Vivaldi offensive is fueling debate among Russian so-called war correspondents over how widespread false reporting within the Russian military is harming Russian occupation forces and contributing to Ukrainian successes in the Lyman sector.

29 September, 11:28 AM

Russia seeks to distract from Ukraine’s gains: ISW rejects claim 1,500 troops encircled in Kharkiv

The Institute for the Study of War said it found no evidence to support Russian claims that about 1,500 Ukrainian troops were encircled in Kharkiv Oblast between the Velykyi Burluk and Vovchansk sectors on Sept. 24.

24 September, 01:48 PM

Kremlin denies new call-up as ISW warns manpower system is under strain

The Kremlin continues to deny plans for a new mobilization after Russia’s Sept. 18-20 State Duma elections, likely in an effort to discourage Russians from fleeing the country, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in its Sept. 18 assessment.

19 September, 08:57 AM

Russia moves armor to Dobropillia, prepares mechanized attacks this fall

Russian occupation forces are moving armored vehicles to the Dobropillia sector and preparing for mechanized attacks this fall, the Institute for the Study of War said in a new report.

18 September, 11:48 AM

ISW: Putin frames predetermined Duma vote as referendum on Ukraine war

Russia’s State Duma elections, which begin on Sept. 18, have predetermined results. Dictator Vladimir Putin is framing them as a referendum on support for the war against Ukraine, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in a Sept. 16 report.

17 September, 11:12 AM

ISW: Putin used Trump call to push distorted battlefield picture on Ukraine

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin used a phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump on Sept. 8 to try to persuade Trump to accept a distorted view of the battlefield and use it to increase pressure on Ukraine, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Sept. 8.

9 September, 11:17 AM

Putin shows no sign of halting strikes during U.S. envoys’ Kyiv visit

Russia is unwilling to guarantee the safety of a U.S. delegation visiting Kyiv this weekend, the Institute for the Study of War said in a Sept. 4 analysis.

5 September, 10:27 AM

Ukrainian drone strikes curb Russia’s Kalibr missile effectiveness — ISW

Ukrainian naval drone strikes are reducing the effectiveness of Russia’s Kalibr missile attacks, the Institute for the Study of War assessed on Sept. 3.

4 September, 11:18 AM

Russian troops make gains near Rodynske in Donetsk Oblast – DeepState

Russian forces advanced near Rodynske in the Pokrovsk district of Ukraine's Donetsk Oblast, the DeepState monitoring group reported on Aug. 30.

30 August, 11:39 AM

Putin sets new unrealistic deadline for Russia to capture all of Donbas – ISW

Vladimir Putin continues to set unrealistic deadlines for Russian forces to seize all of Ukraine's Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, none of which have been met, ISW said in its assessment on Aug. 29.

30 August, 10:54 AM

How Russia prepares for possible September mobilization – ISW

Russia's Defense Ministry is preparing to expand access to Russians' personal and medical data ahead of a possible forced mobilization after the September 2026 State Duma elections, ISW reported on Aug. 29.

29 August, 02:47 PM

ISW explains why Russia is intensifying strikes on Ukraine-Moldova border

Russian forces intensified strikes on Ukrainian and Moldovan border infrastructure in August to disrupt Ukraine's overland export routes and create an "atmosphere of instability" at border crossings, ISW said on Aug. 26.

26 August, 11:25 AM

Putin willing to accept Russia's economic hardship as he pursues victory in war of attrition – ISW

Vladimir Putin appears willing to accept growing economic hardship for Russians, including residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg, as he continues to pursue his "theory of victory" in Ukraine, ISW said on Aug. 22.

23 August, 03:41 PM

Kremlin not interested in peace talks as Putin maintains maximalist war goals – ISW

A senior Russian official has confirmed the Kremlin's unwillingness to engage in meaningful negotiations to end its war against Ukraine, the Institute for the Study of War said in its Aug. 21 assessment.

22 August, 12:19 PM

Wildberries attacks force Kremlin to stretch air defenses across Moscow Oblast

Ukraine’s intensified strikes on Wildberries facilities in Russia could place further pressure on the country’s already overstretched air defenses and increasingly inconvenience Russians who use the platform, the Institute for the Study of War said in a report.

25 July, 11:35 AM

Russian ship numbers in the Sea of Azov may have halved since July – ISW

Russian-flagged vessels operating with active Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders in the Sea of Azov may have dropped by 55% between June 30 and July 11, according to Starboard Maritime Intelligence data cited by the Institute for the Study of War in a report released on July 12.

12 July, 03:00 PM

Russia is increasing use of jet-powered Shahed drones – Flash

Russia is increasingly using jet-powered Shahed drones to attack Ukrainian rear cities, reflecting a tactical shift predicted a year ago, Ukrainian Defense Ministry adviser Serhii Beskrestnov (Flash) said on July 6.

6 July, 06:07 PM

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