ISW

ISW: Kremlin rejects security guarantees, free elections, and Ukraine’s energy truce plan

Russia continues to signal it has no interest in easing attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, agreeing to peace terms that include real security guarantees, or allowing free elections unless it can ensure a pro-Russian outcome, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in their Dec. 10 report.

11 December 2025, 10:32 AM

Russia is feeding in reserves and concentrating manpower in a Sumy settlement – Ukrainian serviceman

Russian invaders are attempting to amass personnel in Oleksiivka in Ukraine’s Sumy Oblast, but Defense Forces are destroying enemy troops before they reach the settlement, Ukrainian serviceman Stanislav Buniatov, known by the call sign Osman, said on Dec. 9.

9 December 2025, 03:28 PM

Ukrainian soldier explains key threat to Zaporizhzhya and Russia’s tactics along defensive lines

In the Zaporizhzhya direction, Russian invaders are attempting to continue their offensive by bypassing Ukrainian positions and trying to use infiltration tactics. The main threat remains in the Huliaipole area, Oleksii Svynarenko, spokesperson for Ukraine’s assault units, said on Kyiv24 on Dec. 7.

7 December 2025, 07:38 PM

Defense Forces carry out urban clearing operations against Russians in Pokrovsk — Operation Task Force 'East'

Ukrainian Defense Forces are conducting search-and-assault operations in Pokrovsk and fighting in urban areas, the Operation Task Force "East" said on Dec. 7.

7 December 2025, 06:54 PM

Ukrainian Defense Forces liberate the village of Tykhe in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

Ukrainian forces have liberated the village of Tykhe in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, pushing out Russian troops, the 67th Separate Mechanized Brigade said, releasing video of the operation on Dec. 5.

7 December 2025, 12:57 PM

Moscow seeks a drone-production partnership with India and offers tech transfers as part of the deal

The Kremlin is increasingly relying on India to ease its domestic labor shortages and is setting conditions for New Delhi to support drone production for Russia’s war effort, according to a report by the Institute for the Study of War on Dec. 6.

7 December 2025, 11:09 AM

ISW: Putin doubles down on 2022 invasion goals, rejects U.S. peace proposal

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin reaffirmed his commitment to the original goals of his 2021–2022 invasion of Ukraine and showed no interest in compromise during a recent interview with Indian media, according to a new assessment from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) published on Dec. 4.

5 December 2025, 11:44 AM

Partisans disable Russia’s key mobilization website

A major cyberattack on Russia’s electronic draft-notice system was carried out, disabling the country’s key mobilization registry, the Atesh resistance movement said on Dec. 3.

3 December 2025, 06:00 PM

Putin justifies future grabs of Ukraine’s south — ISW

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is likely creating information conditions to justify potential seizure of Odesa and Mykolaiv oblasts — even though Russia now has no capability to do so, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote on Dec. 2.

3 December 2025, 12:33 PM

Ukraine’s General Staff denies Russia’s claims of capturing Pokrovsk, Vovchansk and Kupyansk

Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to hold their positions in Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast and in Vovchansk and Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine’s General Staff said, rejecting Russian claims that its forces had captured the settlements on Dec. 2.

2 December 2025, 04:56 PM

ISW: Kremlin fakes Ukraine defeat to push West into peace on Russia’s terms

Russian state-run propaganda outlets are spreading false claims of an imminent collapse along Ukraine’s front line, citing recent remarks by Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, according to the Institute for the Study of War’s latest report, published on Nov. 29.

30 November 2025, 01:00 PM

Russia manipulates Alaska summit outcomes to mask unwillingness to compromise – ISW

Russia is trying to exploit the lack of clarity over the outcome of the U.S.–Russia summit in Alaska to mask the Kremlin’s continued unwillingness to compromise and its commitment to maximalist demands, the Institute for the Study of War said in its assessment on Nov. 26.

26 November 2025, 11:36 AM

Russia shows no readiness for concessions and is laying groundwork to reject U.S. 28 point plan — ISW

Russia continues to signal that its conditions for ending the war in Ukraine remain unchanged and that it is not prepared to make the concessions outlined in the U.S. peace plan, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in a Nov. 21 assessment.

22 November 2025, 12:45 PM

Russia’s advance in Pokrovsk is slowing due to Ukrainian drones and mined roads – ISW

Ukrainian efforts to disrupt Russian supply lines are complicating the use of transport and the concentration of troops in Pokrovsk, likely slowing Russia’s advance in the city, the Institute for the Study of War said in its assessment on Nov. 19.

20 November 2025, 01:47 PM

Proposed Witkoff peace plan would help Russia gear up for another strike and repeats its 2022 demands — ISW

The so-called 28-point “peace plan” reportedly drafted by U.S. and Russian officials would amount to Ukraine’s full capitulation, create conditions for renewed Russian aggression, and strip Ukraine of key defensive positions and capabilities — essentially “in exchange for nothing,” the Institute for the Study of War said in a new assessment on Nov. 20.

20 November 2025, 10:55 AM

Russia attempts to encircle Ukrainian forces in Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad from the west – ISW

Russian forces are likely trying to pin Ukrainian troops inside Pokrovsk while attempting to encircle them from the west in the Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad area, the Institute for the Study of War said on Nov. 17.

18 November 2025, 11:48 AM

Medvedchuk interview shows Kremlin’s true Ukraine aims — ISW

Moscow used an interview with Viktor Medvedchuk, a former Ukrainian lawmaker linked to the Kremlin, to again underscore Russia’s goal of absorbing all of Ukraine — possibly under Medvedchuk’s own control, the Institute for the Study of War said in its assessment on Nov. 16.

18 November 2025, 12:22 AM

ISW: Russia exploits poor weather to probe for gaps in Ukrainian defenses near Novopavlivka

Russian forces exploited poor weather to probe Ukrainian defenses near Novopavlivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, a geolocated video published on Nov. 14 shows. The footage captures Ukrainian troops targeting Russian armored vehicles northeast of the village. A day later, the Institute for the Study of War cited a Russian military blogger who claimed troops had reached the town’s northwestern edge during a mechanized assault.

16 November 2025, 02:56 PM

‘The situation is serious’: Russia seeks to encircle Huliaipole and cut it off from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast — ISW

Russian forces continue pushing forward and intensifying offensive operations toward Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhya Oblast and Velykomykhailivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, according to a Nov. 13 report by the Institute for the Study of War.

14 November 2025, 04:58 PM

Russians move toward Hulyaipole after long campaign of logistics attacks — ISW analysis

Recent Russian advances toward Huliaipole in Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhya Oblast are linked both to foggy weather conditions and to the invaders’ prolonged preparatory efforts, including strikes on the Defense Forces’ rear logistics, according to the Institute for the Study of War’s report on Nov. 11.

12 November 2025, 10:56 AM

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