Ukrainian commander says any Russian offensive from Belarus will fail

5 January, 11:50 AM
The Ukrainian military is preparing for a possible offensive from the territory of Belarus (Photo:Оперативне командування Північ)

The Ukrainian military is preparing for a possible offensive from the territory of Belarus (Photo:Оперативне командування Північ)

Any Russian offensive launched from Belarus is doomed to fail, as the Ukrainian military is taking measures to stop them at the border, Lieutenant General Oleksandr Pavlyuk, who commands the Kyiv garrison, said on Ukrainian national television on Jan. 5.

Pavlyuk said Ukraine is constantly monitoring the movement of Russian army units in Belarus, including their new deployment points and training grounds.

In this regard, the military and political leadership will have time to alert citizens in case of a repeated attempt by Russia to advance on the Ukrainian capital Kyiv.

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“We’ve created a group on the border with Belarus, which is ready to meet the enemy with dignity,” Pavlyuk said.

“Kyiv Oblast is prepared quite strongly for a possible new offensive. These are several lines around Kyiv with a total length of about 1,000 kilometers, with a strong defense system being created on the basis of fortified positions and long-term defense structures, and it will be impossible for them to get through so easily.”

The general emphasized that the entire border with Belarus is now “thick with rubble and minefields,” and the invaders will need an effort to get through them.

“In addition, artillery fires, work from snipers and mobile fire groups are planned from them,” he said.

“We don’t plan to let them get far from the border.”

U.S. think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Dec. 23 that Moscow has been setting conditions for a new most dangerous course of action, a renewed invasion of northern Ukraine possibly aimed at Kyiv, since at least October 2022. However, there remains no evidence that Moscow is actively preparing a strike force in Belarus.

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi earlier said that Russia could launch a new offensive in February, “at best in March, at worst — at the end of January.”

Zaluzhnyi said the attack might come not from the Donbas, where fighting is raging at present, but towards Kyiv from the direction of Belarus.

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